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Inner-city exodus fuels housing boom in southeast QLD suburbs

QLD_CM_REALESTATE_REASPRINGSUBURBS_12SEP20

First home buyers Ray Zhou and Lucy Liu, with their three children, Irina, 6, Iris, 9, Ivan, 3, at the house they have bought in the masterplanned community, Chambers Ridge, in Park Ridge. Photographer: Liam Kidston.

An inner-city exodus is driving a property boom in southeast Queensland’s masterplanned communities and outer suburbs, where COVID-weary buyers are seeking space and affordability.

Forget Brisbane’s blue-chip postcodes, the hottest new markets are in the ’burbs, where house and land packages in Ipswich, Logan and the Moreton Bay regions are going gangbusters.

Exclusive data from property listings site Realestate.com.au shows a jump of up to 97 per cent in serious buyer activity over the past 12 months in suburbs such as Forestdale, Lawnton and South Ripley.

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AVID Property Group’s Chambers Ridge masterplanned community in Park Ridge, Logan. Image supplied.

Record-low interest rates, the rise of remote working, first-home buyer government incentives and the impact of COVID-19 on buyer preferences has also driven an 84 per cent surge in demand for homes in Park Ridge, and a 78 per cent increase in Upper Caboolture.

The research is based on the number of visits to a listing, listing interactions, saving the property, sharing the property and/or making an inquiry with the agent via phone or email.

Realestate.com.au chief economist Nerida Conisbee said the demand was being driven by first-home buyers, affordability and buyers craving space.

“If we have a look at the same time last year, there wouldn’t have been many projects out there, so there has been quite a change in the type of housing available,” Ms Conisbee said.

“More broadly we’re seeing very strong interest in house and land off the back of HomeBuilder.”

REA Group chief economist Nerida Conisbee.

A 300 per cent increase in sales has been recorded by AVID Property Group at its three main southeast Queensland residential communities since the HomeBuilder grant was announced in June, compared with the two months prior.

More than 90 per cent of sales have been to first-home buyers.

The developer’s general manager Bruce Harper said land sales and demand for house and land packages had “gone crazy”.

“There is definitely a preference (since COVID-19) for larger lots,” Mr Harper said.

“We’re seeing people who otherwise may have bought a unit or townhouse, or a very small block of land, now preferring to have a slightly larger parcel of land.”

Houses in a street in the Chambers Ridge estate in Park Ridge.

Mr Harper said the Federal Government’s HomeBuilder scheme had encouraged a swathe of first home buyers to take advantage of the $25,000 grant.

“Sales were good at the beginning of the year, then they dropped off from COVID in March and April and a lot of people who’d signed contracts withdrew,” he said.

“When HomeBuilder came out on June 4, a lot of those people whose contracts had been let go had more confidence and came back into the market.

“It also then brought forward a lot of people who were thinking about building, but might not have been quite ready yet.”

Mr Harper said that even homes ineligible for the incentives were attracting strong sales.

“In some areas with strong demand, such as Lawnton and Logan, the fact people can’t get HomeBuilder has not deterred them,” he said.

This house at 58-60 Dickman Rd, Forestdale, is for sale.

Housing Industry of Australia (HIA) data revealed that the number of loans to owner-occupiers to buy residential land in July increased by 145 per cent in Queensland — the largest increase of all the states.

HIA chief economist Tim Reardon said there had been an increase in the number of loans for the construction of a new home, but also a rise in the purchase of new and established homes.

“There has been a tangible improvement in sentiment and confidence in the housing market,” Mr Reardon said.

This house at 51 Admiralty Circuit, Lawnton, is for sale.

Land sales in southeast Queensland jumped more than 400 per cent in June — the strongest monthly sales result in more than five years, according to data compiled by Oliver Hume Research.

After dropping to just 273 sales across the southeast in April, as lockdowns closed sales offices and dented economic confidence, the market rebounded to 1,110 sales in June.

The data analysed nearly 2000 transactions from more than 150 projects across Brisbane, the Gold Coast, Logan, Ipswich, Moreton Bay and Redland local government areas.

Oliver Hume national head of research George Bougias said despite the COVID-19 shutdowns and their economic impact, there were still plenty of buyers with stable incomes ready to take advantage of the grants and incentives available.

“These are the right incentives at the right time and will keep thousands of tradies in jobs as

homes begin to spring up on these blocks in the next few months.”

This property at 6 Serenity St, South Ripley, is on the market.

But Mr Bougias said that while sales had been boosted by the incentives, there was also an underlying increase in demand.

“The first half of 2019 was a tough time for the southeast Queensland land market, but there was a solid recovery under way towards the end of the year and right up until the lockdowns commenced in the final two weeks of March,” he said.

The $25,000 HomeBuilder grant combined with $15,000 first home buyer grant from the Queensland government means eligible buyers can access $40,000 to help them get on the property ladder.

Other incentives, including the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme can save buyers thousands more on top of the grants.

Moreton Bay recorded the highest share of sales at 26 per cent, followed by Logan and Ipswich.

The federal government’s HomeBuilder scheme has encouraged first home buyers back into the market.

Oliver Hume chief executive Julian Coppini said the underlying fundamentals of the southeast market remained strong and included affordability, liveability, a large and growing population and good economic prospects.

“While there are still many uncertainties around the national and global economies and the

ongoing level of income support and government incentives, the Queensland land market is well placed to absorb any further shocks,” he said.

Buyers searching for a cheap patch of dirt in Queensland are also being enticed by a new land offering in the South Burnett region.

The McGill Group is advertising one acre, flat blocks of land from $59,000 in Fork Hill Estate in Moffatdale, an emerging wine region north of Kingaroy and west of Gympie.

So far, 70 per cent of inquiries for the blocks are from potential buyers in Victoria.

The McGill Group founder Mark McGill said: “Such an opportunity in the current climate offers a sanctuary for families and is a great investment. With fishing, canoeing, waterskiing and boating at Bjelke Peterson Dam nearby — it’s a great spot to escape and to really prosper in the property market.”

SUBURBS WITH THE BIGGEST GROWTH IN DEMAND FOR HOUSES

Ranking Suburb Demand year-on-year

1. Forestdale 96.8%

2. Lawnton 95.1%

3. South Ripley 85.5%

4. Park Ridge 83.9%

5. Upper Caboolture 78.3%

6. Belmont 75.1%

7. Bahrs Scrub 70.7%

8. Northgate 70.3%

9. Inala 69.8%

10. East Ipswich 66.4%

11. Chermside West 65.4%

12. Mount Ommaney 64.9%

13. Bald Hills 64.5%

14. Logan Reserve 64.2%

15. Everton Park 64.1%

16. Camp Hill 61.7%

17. East Brisbane 61.1%

18. Gumdale 56.4%

19. Pullenvale 56.3%

20. Moorooka 54.3%

(Source: Realestate.com.au)

SUBURBS WITH THE BIGGEST GROWTH IN DEMAND FOR UNITS

Ranking Suburb Demand year-on-year

1. Cannon Hill 112.1%

2. Bethania 94.7%

3. Griffin 82.0%

4. Albion 79.8%

5. Wynnum West 74.1%

6. Brendale 70.1%

7. Ascot 68.5%

8. Bridgeman Downs 63.6%

9. Lutwyche 60.5%

10. Scarborough 54.5%

11. Alderley 54.2%

12. Carseldine 50.4%

13. Sherwood 49.9%

14. Carina 49.3%

15. Clayfield 48.7%

16. Morayfield 47.9%

17. Everton Park 47.5%

18. Wooloowin 46.9%

19. Windsor 45.4%

20. Springwood 45.1%

(Source: Realestate.com.au)

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